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Pascal's Wager

62
Quality Score
Solid

Pascal's Wager

by Giant Global
High confidence
3.1 ✍️ Editor
✍️ GetAppValue analysis

Pascal's Wager is an Android app from Giant Global in the Action category, currently rated 3.1★ across 16,876 ratings. Initial signal reads as mixed reviews: supporters praise core features while critics cite stability and value gaps.

Quality Score is 62: Solid (established niche player). For a Action app, that means established niche player. The full BU Investment Matrix below scores 8 dimensions including monetisation, growth, and operational risk.

Track changes month-over-month in the Performance section below: live snapshot history and revenue forecast included.

💰 Monthly revenue · now vs forecast
● Right now
$15.2K
per month
12-mo forecast
$15.7K – $32.9K
per month
24-mo forecast
$19.5K – $58.4K
per month
MID tier
💡 Grow this revenue
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  • Description hook & conversion structure
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Typical impact: +2-5× organic installs
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📊 Performance Tracking LIVE

Loading…
idle
0%
Rating
Reviews
Forecast Revenue / mo
Snapshots tracked
0
since first record
ONE-TIME · BUILD 💰 Estimated build cost
$205K
What it cost to build · not monthly revenue
Likely range $155K – $275K
$25K · MVP floor $100K · indie scale $500K+ · studio build
📈 Pays back in ~1.2y at current MRR

Synthetic estimate. Inputs: category complexity, file size, screen count, monetization layer, platform reach, age × team-size proxy. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-agency rate surveys. Full math + source list on /methodology.

Where the money goes
🧱 MVP baseline (design + 1-store ship) +$28K
📱 5 unique screens × $4.5K +$22K
💎 In-app purchase plumbing +$9K
Action complexity ×2.20 +$71K
🌐 Cross-platform reach (iOS + Android) +$71K
Total estimate $205K
ONE-TIME · EXIT VALUE 💵 Estimated acquisition value
$300K
What it would sell for · not monthly revenue
Marketplace range $225K – $375K · 20× MRR multiple
💸 ~1.5× build cost (break-even+)

Synthetic estimate. Multiple band derived from iap / freemium model + age, rating quality, category demand, and user-base maturity. Calibrated against 2024-2026 indie-app-marketplace closed-deal medians. Full math + comparable deal list on /methodology.

How the multiple was built
💎 IAP / freemium model base 28× MRR
★ rating < 3.5 (weak) -18%
🏷 Action category multiple -15%
Final multiple 20× MRR
👥 Estimated audience size
2.5M
Lifetime downloads (US-equivalent)
Monthly active
250K
Daily active
87K

Synthetic estimate from ratings × category benchmarks. Calibrated against 2024-2026 mobile-attribution retention + DAU/MAU reports. Numbers are US-storefront-equivalent — true global audience can be 5-10× larger for international apps. Full math + source list on /methodology.

How we sized it
📲 Action engagement ~150 installs / rating
🔁 Action D30 retention 10%
📍 DAU / MAU stickiness 0.35
DAU / MAU 35% sticky
🛠 Estimated tech stack
🤖
Native Android (Kotlin)
Medium confidence · 55%
Also possible
Flutter

Heuristic guess from app bundle size, category, store description signals, and release-date stack era. Bumetric does not disassemble binaries — for binary-level certainty you would need an SDK intelligence tool or the manifest itself. Reasoning chain on the right. Full ruleset on /methodology.

Signals we read
🏷 Category context Action
📦 Tiny game bundle → Native 2D engine
🔬

How we forecast this revenue

MEDIUM CONFIDENCE
Baseline
$15.2K/mo · ML-estimated from 234 triggers
Growth rate
+4.0% MoM · MID tier baseline (compound monthly)
6 months
$14.4K – $24.0K
12 months
$15.7K – $32.9K
24 months
$19.5K – $58.4K
Compound growth at +4.0% MoM (tier baseline for MID). Range widens with horizon — typical noise band ±25% at 6mo.. Ranges widen with horizon — distant futures carry more uncertainty.
📊

BU Investment Matrix

Below median · 42/100MID TIERunderperforming peers
GrowthFounderQualityRevenueMonetiz.MoatMarketSafety
Growth Velocity
5.0
Founder Strength
3.5
Product Quality
6.1
Revenue Strength
4.2
Monetization Maturity
4.0
Defensibility
6.0
Market Position
0.0
Operational Safety
5.0
  • 💰 Revenue: Modest — $10K - $22K/mo · MID tier · medium confidence, trajectory unclear.
  • ⭐ Quality: 3.06★ across 16,876 reviews — solid.
  • 📍 Market: Not yet charting in any of the 9 monitored markets.
  • 📈 Growth: ⚠ last update 507d ago — possibly dormant.
  • ⚠️ Risk: Elevated — dormant (507d since update).
🎯 For competitors: Vulnerable. Quality drift + slow updates create a clear opening for a fresh competitor with active dev cadence.
💵 For acquirers: Estimated asking range 18-32× monthly = $273K-$485K.
Composite of 8 dimensions computed deterministically from public signals — no LLM, every score traces back to a measurable input. Default weights shown; "compete" / "acquire" / "invest" lenses re-weight without re-fetching.
Range:

💰 Forecast Revenue / mo

MODEL
Revenue forecast computed from BU's 234 trigger model on each snapshot. Calibrated against ground-truth from 58 verified-revenue apps.
🔬Forecast Breakdown — Why This Estimate?Top 7 of 7 triggers
Our ML model uses 200+ signals from public data. These are the most influential for this app:
Mid install base (16,876 ratings)METRIC
+$5,500
Paid app ($4.99)METRIC
+$2,800
bugsREVIEW
−$1,800
5 starREVIEW
+$1,800
Below-average rating (3.1★)METRIC
−$1,500
highly recommendREVIEW
+$1,400
Established app (6y old)METRIC
+$800
METRIC = structural app data · REVIEW = mined from user reviews · ✓ VERIFIED = Stripe-verified anchor (TrustMRR)

📈 Reviews Growth

LIVE
Cumulative review count from first BU snapshot. Each point = a tracked update.

⭐ Rating Trend

LIVE
Average rating evolution. Updates with each new review batch.

Profile & Insights

Everything we know — and don't — about this app and its company.

Identification

App name
Pascal's Wager
Developer
Giant Global
Bundle ID
com.tipsworks.android.pascalswager.google
App Store URL
Open in App Store
Category
Action
Content rating
Not found
Languages
Not found

Company

Website
pw.giant.games
Tagline
Not found
Description
Not found
Founded
Not found
HQ / Address
Not found
Employees
Not found
Logo
Not found

Revenue

Verified revenue / mo
Not found
AI revenue estimate / mo
Not found
AI annual estimate
Not found
ML model estimate / mo
$310/mo
Top-grossing rank
Not found
All-time revenue
Not found
Pricing
$0.99 - $99.99 per item

Founder

Founder data not yet collected for this app.

Funding

Funding data not yet collected for this app.

Press & Links

Press & Links data not yet collected for this app.

Contacts & Socials

Contacts & Socials data not yet collected for this app.
Profile is built from iTunes Lookup + developer site scrape + ML revenue model. Empty fields show "Not found" — additional sources (Crunchbase, X, IndieHackers, Acquire.com) coming.

📝 About this app

August 19th, 2022
Newest add-on content, Dance of the Throne, is now available!
The Soul of Obsession carrying the will of all Demiurges has been summoned to Solas again, and it's here for revenge!
The leader of Demiurge, Elena, will be arriving as a playable character in this mode. Dance in a flurry of dual blades and experience a completely new challenge in Solas.

An unprecedented hardcore Soulsborn-like title on mobile, Pascal's Wager delivers an immersive, action fueled console quality game to be experienced anytime and anywhere!… View full description on the official store →
App Specs
🔐 Own this app? Claim & verify MRR →
🔖 v1.6.8🔄 updated 0d ago📂 Action💰 Free💎 IAP $0.99 - $99.99 per item
🔔

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📝 Description

95
BU Score · Transcendent
Full revenue analysis
Read the article-style breakdown for Pascal's Wager: category rank, percentile, growth signal, comparable apps, and how the forecast is calibrated against verified-MRR anchors in this niche.
Read deep-dive →

Similar apps in Action

About this analysis
ZCAnalyzed by Zakhar Chumak · founder, GetAppValue·Full methodology·High confidence

Why high confidence: 16,876 ratings · no founder-verified revenue (model estimate only).

Frequently Asked Questions

4 answers · auto-generated from this app's public data
How much does Pascal's Wager make per month?
Based on our ML-calibrated revenue forecast, Pascal's Wager earns approximately $15K/mo. This is a US-storefront-equivalent estimate; global revenue can be several times larger for internationally-distributed apps. See the methodology page for the full formula and confidence bands.
What apps are like Pascal's Wager?
Browse the full Action category catalog to find similar apps with revenue, build cost, audience and tech stack data. Each /p/{slug} page also shows a Compare side-by-side widget with three peer apps from the same niche.
Who makes Pascal's Wager?
Pascal's Wager is published by Giant Global on the Google Play Store. See the full publisher portfolio (other apps by the same developer) via the More by developer block on the product page above.
What is Pascal's Wager's BU Score?
Pascal's Wager has a BU Score of 62/100 (Solid). The score combines App Store rating, ratings count, monetization model and revenue signals calibrated against founder-verified MRR anchors. See the BU Score formula.